尽管美国呼吁增产 欧佩克+不太可能放开限制

2021

08/16

10:45
上海玲耐特种磁力泵
14

中国石化新闻网讯 据油价网2021年8月13日报道,高盛投资银行表示,由于激增的席卷全球的德尔塔变异毒株病例将抑制全球短期石油需求,但欧佩克+不太可能对美国的要求增产做出回应。

  日前,白宫呼吁欧佩克+集团增加他们已计划的石油产量,以遏制可能破坏全球经济复苏的汽油价格大幅上涨。

  美国国家安全顾问沙利文在一份声明中表示:“我们正在与欧佩克+相关成员国就竞争性市场在定价中的重要性进行接触。”

  高盛投资银行说,如果不加以控制,汽油价格大幅上涨可能会损害正在进行的全球复苏。

  在评论欧佩克+增加供应的可能性时,高盛投资银行分析师在路透社8月12日发表的一份报告中表示:“我们不认为白宫最近的声明会威胁到当前的市场赤字,也不认为会影响今年下半年的再平衡速度。”

  因此,这家美国著名投资银行将今年年底对布伦特原油价格的预测维持在每桶80美元。8月5日早些时候,布伦特原油价格约为每桶71美元。

  尽管高盛投资银行预计,德尔塔变异病毒在未来两个月的激增将暂时拖累石油需求,但 高盛投资银行仍继续看好油价。

  高盛投资银行在周四的报告中表示:“尽管德尔塔变异病毒在全球肆虐,我们仍预计需求复苏将继续,同时疫苗接种率将不断上升。”

  荷兰国际集团(ING)分析师沃伦• 帕特森和姚文宇周四表示:“我们可以想象,沙特阿拉伯和更广泛的欧佩克+集团将非常不愿意进一步增产,特别是考虑到德尔塔变异毒株扩散的持续不确定性。”

  两位分析师补充称:“我们需要看到,美国愿意向沙特阿拉伯施加多大压力,才能看到他们进一步打开水龙头。”

  李峻 编译自 油价网

  原文如下:

  Goldman: OPEC+ Unlikely To Open The Taps Despite U.S. Calls

  OPEC+ is unlikely to respond with increased production to the U.S. calls amid the surging Delta variant, which is set to dampen short-term oil demand, Goldman Sachs says.

  Earlier this week, the White House called on the OPEC+ group to increase oil production more than they had planned in order to tame rising gasoline prices that could derail the global economic recovery.

  U.S. National Security Advisor Jake Sullivan said in a statement that “We are engaging with relevant OPEC+ members on the importance of competitive markets in setting prices.”

  Higher gasoline costs, if left unchecked, risk harming the ongoing global recovery,” the statement further reads.

  Commenting on the possibility that OPEC+ lift supply, Goldman Sachs analysts said in a Thursday note carried by Reuters: “We don’t see the recent White House statement as threatening the current market deficit nor the pace of the rebalancing in 2H21.”

  As a result, the investment bank kept its forecast for Brent Crude prices at $80 a barrel at the end of this year. Brent was trading at around $71 early on Friday.

  Goldman continues to be bullish on oil, although it expects the Delta variant surge to have a transitory drag on oil demand over the next two months.

  “Looking beyond the Delta headwind, we expect the demand recovery to continue alongside rising vaccination rates,” Goldman Sachs said in the Thursday note.

  “[W]e imagine that there will be quite a lot of reluctance from the Saudis and the broader group to increase output further, particularly given continued uncertainty over the spread of the delta variant,” ING strategists Warren Patterson and Wenyu Yao said on Thursday.

  “We will need to see how much pressure the US is willing to put on Saudi Arabia in order to see them further opening the taps,” they added.

来源: 中国石化新闻网  

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